asymco on what you have to believe for an Android dominated future

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Possibly Horace Dediu's best analysis yet. Great read on why it's too early to claim Android, iOS, or any other mobile platform will dominate the smartphone future.

Someone thinks Microsoft buying Adobe would be a good thing

The most obvious, immediate thing that the two companies can do is to get Flash ported to Windows Phone 7.

The article is too long to be link-bait, so here we have one of the very few opinions of the Microsoft/Adobe rumor—a rumor I think is mainly BS—that's positive.

But I can't agree with many of the articles assumptions, starting with the quote above.

The most obvious thing they need to do is port Flash to WP7? Why? Flash mobile is still a disaster that garners almost universal derision. There is zero proof that adding Flash to a mobile device will help it in the market place. Meanwhile, there's a boatload of proof that not having Flash on a mobile device does not hinder sales. And here I'm not just discussing the iPhone, but the multitude of other smartphones sold without Flash as well.

The article also tends to ignore what Microsoft does to companies it purchases. It may seem obvious that Adobe's products would remain and some Microsoft software would be killed, but politics at Microsoft are very strong. The digital imaging group at Microsoft is not just going to let go, nor will they be compelled to. As likely as not Microsoft will still sell both as they struggle to fit Adobe technology into the Microsoft portfolio and tout it as the best of both. Watch the smart Adobe people leave as a result.

Personally, I see nothing good for Adobe from this purchase except a temporary stock bump.

Confirmed Windows Phone 7 Devices

Please note that this list is subject to change as more information about the devices is available.

A chart containing rumored and confirmed WP7 devices. Clicking on a phone name provides more detail. There are seven confirmed devices so far. 

Microsoft Mobile Still Can't Fit Text To Screen

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Some interesting detail from Engadget on early WP7 units. I see Microsoft's still lopping off the "e". You'd think after a year this would be fixed by now.

Now don't get all bent out of shape. Honesty, it seems too early to judge WP7 because it's not ready for prime time—opinions are all over the map. I just thought I'd point this Zune-ism out for some fun.